BREXIT: The 800Lb Gorilla Mauling the UK

| July 14, 2019
Dickson Igwe for CaribDirect

Contributing writer Dickson Igwe

BREXIT is the most damaging event in recent UK history, equivalent to the Suez Crisis of the early 1960s, in terms of it’s malevolent effect on UK politics, economics, and society.

Boris Johnson will be UK Prime Minister by the end of July 2019, save his death, or some event totally unforeseen as yet. Johnson is an opportunist.

Unlike Nigel Farage who actually believes in his own folly, that the UK will be stronger outside Europe, Johnson has no beliefs or principles on the Brexit matter whatsoever; save that Brexit is a one way ticket for Johnson into Number 10 Downing Street: the UK Prime Minister’s Residence.

However, Johnson will enter office and immediately face a chain of crises. Johnson may not survive the first few weeks as Prime Minister if British Parliamentarians have their way.

For most Members of Parliament, a no deal Brexit is unacceptable. This is what Boris Johnson advocates, crashing out of Europe.

Johnson states he will accomplish this ”feat” by suspending the UK Parliament under an arcane law. It is similar to the Virgin Islands Premier stating he will suspend the House of Assembly on a matter of national importance because Legislators do not share his views on the matter.  If Johnson tries this, there will be a constitutional crisis, probably leading to a General Election.

The best case scenario for Johnson- unlikely- is that UK parliamentarians accept a no deal Brexit. Then many months of crisis will follow.

Boris Johnson, British Prime Minister in waiting. Photo courtesy

Experts believe the UK will fall into deep recession with the loss of millions of jobs. The very blue collar types who were the strongest supporters of Brexit, following their Eton and Oxbridge masters into the ”pit of hell,” will be the very ones that suffer the most economically. And in the medium term, Brexit will hit multiple walls.

The first: Brexit is simply unsustainable demographically with under 40s solidly Europhile. So, a return to the EU is on the cards in a number of years.

Second, Brexit will break up the UK leaving a core called England remaining, with dramatically reduced clout. England will have no choice but to become a vassal of the USA to survive.

Third: there is no way out of the Irish backstop conundrum, and the Irish question. With Brexit, the future of the UK is bleak.

Europe looks on with a detached disdain as the UK makes a fool of itself on the global stage. European leaders probably observe with a subtle gloating, as Prime Minister after Prime Minister fall on the sword called Brexit.

Overseas Territories of Great Britain must begin to understand the constitutional ramifications of Brexit. Do these territories want to be tied to a Little England with dramatically reduced global influence or the European Union: a marketplace of 500 million? Brexit is a conundrum and a cul de sac.

For Britain, the 2016 Referendum was an exercise in folly and pride. It has backfired dramatically, with terrible consequences.

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Category: African Caribbean

About the Author (Author Profile)

Dickson Igwe is an education official in the Virgin Islands. He is also a national sea safety instructor. He writes a national column across media and has authored a story book on the Caribbean: ‘The Adventures of a West Indian Villager’. Dickson is focused on economics articles, and he believes economics holds the answer to the full economic and social development of the Caribbean. He is of both West African and Caribbean heritage. Dickson is married with one son.

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